Only one man can stop the world plunging into full-scale war

Author and journalist

With all the blood and terror since last October,it is easy to forget that it took five back-to-back elections to put BibiNetanyahu in the position he now occupies:the leader whose next decision might plunge his region,and maybe the world,into full-scale war.

This power rests in the hands of a man who,at home,has become widely despised,with only15 per cent of Israelis now saying they support him.

A protester holds a smoke torch during a demonstration calling for the release of hostages held in the Gaza Strip and against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu

A protester holds a smoke torch during a demonstration calling for the release of hostages held in the Gaza Strip and against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin NetanyahuGetty

It is worth recalling how arduous his path to power was,and how tenuously he holds it. In December 2018,with a one-seat majority,facing indictment on corruption charges, Netanyahu called a snap election,but instead of strengthening his position,he weakened it. With Netanyahu unable to form a government,a second election was called,and then a third,also inconclusive. With the coronavirus raging,Netanyahu’s rivalBenny Gantz agreed to form a unity government. When Netanyahu reneged on their power-sharing agreement,a fourth election brought the centristYair Lapid to power,but his fragile coalition collapsed within a year.

At this fifth election in four years,in November 2022,voters of the left and centre proved more exhausted than the far-right and the ultra-Orthodox,who turned out in slightly greater numbers. By accommodating hate-mongers and fanatics,Netanyahu was narrowly able to form themost right-wing government in the country’s history. Its extremist policies provokedunprecedented demonstrations that shut down cities and had reservists threatening to decline military service.

And then came theintelligence failures that left Israelis vulnerable tocarnage on October 7. Since then,Netanyahu’s cobweb-thin backing has disintegrated. Netanyahu knows that as soon as war ends,his political career will be over.

That is what makes him so dangerous. Withcivilian deaths soaring in Gaza and Israeli hostages languishing,he chose the most volatile moment to provoke Iran bybombing its consulate in Damascus. This violation of international law would have met global opprobrium had the perpetrator and victim been any other nation. There is a good reason that diplomatic premises are considered off limits. Foreign relations can barely function without this norm and by breaching it,Israel lowered the bar for such attacks by bad actors everywhere. The US still hasn’t gotten over Iran’s seizure of itsTehran embassy in 1980. Two died in that shameful episode;16 were killed in Israel’s recent strike. Israeli and US diplomatic premises are already bristling fortresses,making the delicate work of diplomacy difficult. Now they will need to be fortified even further.

WhenIraq invaded Iran in 1980,the US and Israel provided Saddam Hussein with targeting intelligence that allowed strikes on Iranian cities. At that time,Iran had no missiles with which to respond. When I visited the southern Iranian city of Khorramshahr,it was a scene of devastation,of rubble and despair,that resembled Gaza at this moment. I was in Tehran in the aftermath of strikes that landed in the civilian neighbourhoods. The Islamic Republic’s dangerous militarisation since then was likely born of its helplessness in the face of the unholy trinity of Israel,the US and Saddam.

Last weekend,as Israelis waited in dread for theimpact of the Iranian missiles,I re-watched the2005 movie,Munich,a fictionalised account of the very real clandestine mission ordered by Golda Meir to kill those responsible for the murder of Israel’s athletes at the 1972 Olympics. The movie makes much of the assassins’ scruples about sparing innocents. One innocentdid die in the actual operation,but in 1988,when an assassination squad went to Tunis to killPLO number two,Abu Jihad,they spared his wife,who was in the same room. Now,in Gaza,no one is spared. Not shirtlessIsraeli hostages pleading in Hebrew,orforeign aid workers delivering food,and notPalestinian civilians,many of whom despised Hamas before October 7,but had no escape from the regime,due to Israeli and Egyptian blockades of the enclave.

Netanyahu,whofought hand-to-hand with airplane hijackersin 1972,blew up civilian aircraft on a night raid into Beirut in 1968,andfought in several wars,has never exhibited a jot of compassion towards Palestinians. I interviewed him over several days 1992,at the very beginning of his rise to power within Israel. He was 42,a mere deputy minister,with a gift for putting the hardline Israeli positions of then-prime ministerYitzhak Shamir into telegenic soundbites. His ambition to be prime minister was clear:his chances,at the time,less so. When I interviewed his colleagues,I learned he had alienated many – the foreign minister under whom he served hated him,his former mentor,Moshe Arens,belittled his abilities,his relations with the US state department were awful (as they have mostly continued to be,with brief exceptions during the administrations of George W. Bush and Donald Trump). But his Manichean world view turned out to suit the times,as Israel’s two competing ideologies underwent a power-shift.

The first ideology,that of the left-leaning Labor movement,created the Israel with which the West fell in love – theExodus land of egalitarian,Paul Newman-esquesabras and Holocaust survivors,tilling soil,beset by enemies,yet dreaming of peace. The other ideology,the Revisionists,believed that Jews were entitled to all the land of the former British ruled Palestine,including what is now Jordan. In 1946,theyblew up the British headquarters in the King David hotel,and in1948 they assassinated a UN peace negotiator and massacred Palestinian civilians in the village of Deir Yassin. They found a home in theLikud party and came to power in 1977 under Menachem Begin. Since then,Israeli public opinion has moved right to meet them,accelerated by Saddam Hussein’sScud missiles,thesuicide bombings of the Second Intifada and,until recently,the world’s – including the Gulf Arabs’ – seeming willingness to forget the Palestinians and the issues of ahalf-century’s immiserating occupation.

Hamas’s blood-soaked attack exposed the cost of that amnesia,at its own horrific price. Just as Hamas knew the attack on Israeli civilians would provoke a hellacious response,so Netanyahu knew that Iran would respond to its lethal and lawless consulate strike. And just as Hamas had no regard for the Palestinian suffering that would ensue,so Netanyahu took an unconscionable risk with the lives of Israelis.

Now,he seems deaf to the world’s entreaties against escalation. And we wait,helplessly,to see what risk he will take next.

Geraldine Brooks is a Pulitzer Prize-winning author and journalist.

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Geraldine Brooks is a Pulitzer Prize-winning author and journalist.

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