PM’s personal rating slips as frustration with major parties grows

Voters have trimmed their support for Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s personal performance over the past month,highlighting a challenge for Labor in regaining lost ground on key measures such as trust,vision and strong leadership.

The shift cut Albanese’s net performance rating from minus 6 per cent to minus 11 per cent as voters drifted from Labor and increased their support for the Greens.

Despite a fall in his personal performance rating,Anthony Albanese has increased his lead as preferred prime minister over Peter Dutton.

Despite a fall in his personal performance rating,Anthony Albanese has increased his lead as preferred prime minister over Peter Dutton.Fairfax Media

Opposition Leader Peter Dutton’s net performance rating rose slightly,from minus 11 per cent to minus 9 per cent,but core support for the Coalition slipped over the month.

The findings from an exclusive survey came during a period when national debate canvassed concerns about the cost of living,a proposal fornew laws on religious discrimination,questions in parliament about therelease of immigration detainees and official figures showing abig increase in net migration.

The survey also shows Labor and Albanese hold narrow leads on some measures of political performance,such as whether they are running a united team and have a vision for the future,after losing ground over several months.

The Resolve Political Monitor shows Albanese has increased his lead as preferred prime minister,backed by 40 per cent of voters compared to 30 per cent who favour Dutton,but the small gain was within the margin of error for the survey.

Resolve director Jim Reed said Albanese’s net performance rating had fallen by about 50 percentage points over the past 18 months. In August 2022,the prime minister’s net performance rating was 39 percentage points.

“Albanese and Dutton have been rated quite closely on net performance for the last six months,which is a far cry from Albanese’s leads after the last election and before the referendum vote on the Indigenous Voice,” Reed said.

“We have to remember that each leader is being assessed on their performance in their respective roles,and one could argue that being PM is a tougher gig,but the most striking feature is that they are both in negative territory.

“Many voters simply don’t rate them highly on the job that they are doing.”

The Resolve Political Monitor,conducted for this masthead by research company Resolve Strategic,found Labor’s primary vote had fallen from 34 to 32 per cent and the Coalition’s from 37 to 35 per cent.

Support for the Greens rose from 11 to 13 per cent while One Nation slipped from 6 to 5 per cent and independent candidates rose from 9 to 11 per cent.

The Resolve Political Monitor surveyed 1610 eligible voters from Thursday to Sunday,generating results with a margin of error of 2.4 percentage points.

Because the Resolve Political Monitor asks voters to nominate their primary votes in the same way they would write “1” on the ballot papers for the lower house at an election,with choices offered in random order,there is no undecided category in the results,a key difference with some other surveys.

When asked about economic management,37 per cent of voters backed Dutton and the Coalition compared with 25 per cent for Albanese and Labor. The Coalition’s lead on this measure rose by 1 percentage point from February.

Asked to name the better leader and party to manage immigration and refugees,35 per cent of voters backed Dutton and the Coalition while only 23 per cent named Albanese and Labor. The Coalition lead increased by 2 percentage points.

Albanese retained a lead on some measures of political performance,with 33 per cent of voters saying he had a united team compared to 22 per cent who said the same for Dutton.

Asked who was offering strong leadership,however,voters were split evenly,with 29 per cent naming Albanese and Labor,while the same number chose Dutton and the Coalition. Another 30 per cent were undecided and 12 per cent said they preferred others.

When asked which side had the leader they could trust to take the country forward,29 per cent chose Albanese and Labor,while 24 per cent chose Dutton and the Coalition. Another 33 per cent were undecided and 13 per cent preferred others.

Reed said the results highlighted a level of dissatisfaction with both major parties,with respondents criticising both sides in their written responses to the online survey.

“The major parties are both the same. You can’t trust either of them any more,” one respondent said. Another said:“I’m trying to size up who’s the least worst out of a bad bunch.” A third wrote:“The two parties look after the rich and those on low incomes,but never the middle earners.” A fourth said:“I haven’t changed my mind yet,but I’ve been pretty disappointed with Labor.”

Asked how they rated Albanese,38 per cent of people said his performance was good and 49 per cent said it was poor. His net result,which subtracts the “poor” from the “good” rating,fell to minus 11 percentage points.

Asked about Dutton,36 per cent of respondents said his performance was good and 44 per cent said it was poor. His net result improved to minus 9 percentage points from minus 11 points one month ago.

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David Crowe is chief political correspondent for The Sydney Morning Herald and The Age.

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