A nurse checks a COVID patient in the intensive care unit in Machakos,Kenya.

A nurse checks a COVID patient in the intensive care unit in Machakos,Kenya.Credit:Bloomberg

While more than half of the population of the US and over 60 per cent of people living in the European Union are fully vaccinated,just 3.2 per cent of Africa’s 1.2 billion people have been fully dosed. That’s resulted in a severe third wave of infections in many countries and the emergence of a new variant in South Africa known as C.1.2.

The study showed that COVID-19 was introduced to most African nations from Europe,and in turn the continent has exported the variants it spawned back to European countries. Different strains of the virus spread around the continent mainly from South Africa,Nigeria and Kenya - three of the African countries with the strongest links to the wider world.

The Beta variant,identified in South Africa in December,quickly raced as far north as the Democratic Republic of Congo,most likely along the road and rail routes that connect the country’s ports with the sub-continent,the study said.

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The research is the first major output by Africa’s leading scientists in an effort to increase the continent’s ability to produce and analyse genomic data. Two variants in West Africa and East Africa,known as B.1.525 and A.23.1,need to be contained,it said.

“There is strong evidence that both of these VOIs[variants of interest] are rising in frequency in the regions where they have been detected,which suggests that they may possess higher fitness than other variants,” the scientists said. “Although more focused research on the biological properties of these VOIs is needed to confirm whether they should be considered VOCs,it would be prudent to assume the worst.”

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The study was done in cooperation with the World Health Organisation and the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention.

Africa has to date reported just over 200,000 deaths and just under 8 million confirmed coronavirus cases. Yet testing is limited and anecdotal evidence points to a far more severe outbreak. In South Africa alone there have been more than 250,000 excess deaths,a measure of mortality against a historical average,since the pandemic began. Scientists assume most of those are due to COVID-19.

“If the virus keeps evolving on the African continent,this will become a global problem,” said Tulio de Oliveira,a bio-informatics professor who helped put together the study and runs gene-sequencing institutions at two South African universities. “It is our moral duty to try to protect Africa and the world.”

Bloomberg

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