Year 12 student Joanna Carey is hoping to study law at Sydney University or ANU.

Year 12 student Joanna Carey is hoping to study law at Sydney University or ANU.Credit:Nikki Short

The state’s universities have made 34,517 offers for undergraduate study for 2023,falling from about 35,800 offers made for the previous year. The steady decline in first-round offers over the past five years is largely due to the explosion in early entry places,with universities racing to lock in enrolments by offering students places before sitting final exams.

Kim Paino,the general manager of marketing and engagement at the Universities Admissions Centre,said:“There are still those high-demand courses that rely on of ATAR and some particular universities,but for many students they will be perfectly satisfied with the early offer they’ve received.”

Universities have released the lowest selection rank – or cut-off – for entry into each course,which comprises the ATAR plus any bonus points the student may have received due to other factors such as hardship.

At Sydney University,the ATAR for the prestigious combined bachelor of laws remains at 99.50,while physiotherapy requires a sky-high ATAR of 99.55.

However,the selection rank required for commerce dropped slightly from 95 to 94.05 and the minimum ATAR needed for the university’s architecture and environment degree fell from 85 last year to 80.05.

At UNSW,a bachelor of arts required an ATAR of 80,only marginally down on last year’s mark. Commerce remained the same at 93,while the selection rank required to get into economics remained at 91.

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Some of the biggest drops were the ATARs required to enter nursing degrees at Australian Catholic University and Western Sydney University (down by at least 20 points),while the mark required for a bachelor of nursing at UTS is 75,down from 86.95 last year. At the University of Wollongong the ATAR required for nursing is 65.1,down from 70.7.

A snapshot of data from December shows the most sought-after courses are health,arts and business degrees,with the University of NSW’s bachelor of medical studies/doctor of medicine the most popular first-course choice followed by the University of Newcastle’s bachelor of medical science and doctor of medicine. The most popular courses at Sydney University are the bachelor of arts and the bachelor of commerce.

Year 12 student Joanna Carey said she was surprised to receive an ATAR of 99.2 when results were released last week,prompting her to look at other study possibilities in the short time she has to change her university course preferences.

“I’ve started to consider architecture a bit more. But I am sticking with my decision to put law and commerce at Sydney University as my first choice,” Carey said.

Her back-up plan is to move to the Australian National University in Canberra to study law and commerce if she does not get into Sydney. Either way,she plans to live on campus when she starts the course.

“It means you just immerse yourself in the university experience,” she said.

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This year,15,746 students received an early offer through UAC and thousands of offers were made directly from universities to students,including 11,400 made by UTS and 11,270 early offers made by Western Sydney University.

“Although numerous early offers have already been made,these are the first offers based on ATAR,” Paino said. “That’s important because some of the more high-demand courses rely on ATAR and even those students who already have offers may have been holding out for this round.”

Universities have made early offers to students for about a decade,but numbers surged during the pandemic as universities bypassed ATAR results,with student applications through UAC increasingfourfold since 2014.

The surge in offers – and concerns that they are undermining the HSC – prompted calls for new rules to govern how early offers were made. University bosses are set to overhaul guidelines from next year to determine how early offers are made to year 12 students.

Students have until midnight on January 5 to change preferences before the next round of offers in January.

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