You might recall that NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian today released modelling from the Burnet Institute about intensive care demand and capacity in the state as COVID-19 cases rise.
NSW in the 24 hours to 8pm on Sunday and five more deaths.
The modelling,,predicts that in 12 local government areas of concern in NSW,coronavirus cases will continue increasing until mid-September. These areas are expected to record a combined 1100 to 2000 new cases per day.
“A peak in hospital and ICU utilisation will follow. It is anticipated that between 2,200 and 3,900 people will require hospitalisation,” NSW Health says.
The full list of areas of concern is,and it includes Blacktown,Canterbury-Bankstown,Fairfield and parts of Penrith. The government has previously said that more than 80 per cent of new COVID-19 infections are being detected in these areas.
After mid-September,NSW Health believes vaccine-acquired immunity will start kicking in and driving down case numbers,with restrictions also playing a part.
Hospitalisations are expected to peak in October at 3,434 (which includes COVID and non-COVID cases),and the intensive care capacity is expected to peak in early November at 947 patients (again,a figure that includes non-COVID cases).
As the NSW Premier made clear,the modelling is based on a number of variables and assumes that people adhere to existing restrictions.